Comparison of Factors Affecting the Internationalization Level of SDR Basket Currencies
DOI: https://doi.org/10.62517/jel.202414216
Author(s)
Wenzhuo Jiang, Yun Fan, Yajie Wang*
Affiliation(s)
School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China
* Corresponding Author.
Abstract
This research uses the panel entropy weight method to construct the Currency Internationalization Index (CII) to measure the internationalization level of the US dollar, euro, pound, yen, and RMB in the special drawing right (SDR) basket currencies. A systematic generalized method of moments (GMM) model with a variable considering the epidemic’s influence was used to analyze the influencing factors of currency internationalization. The results showed that the monetary network externalities, economic strength of sovereign countries or regions, and financial market factors significantly and positively affected currency internationalization. The currency instability and the epidemic had negative influences on currency internationalization. A heterogeneity test showed that these factors had different effects on the internationalization levels of different sovereign currencies.
Keywords
Currency Internationalization, Panel Entropy Weight Method, Currency Network Externalities
References
[1]Ding Yibing, Shen Weiwen. Research on the mechanism of China's trade with countries along the "Belt and Road" affecting the internationalization of RMB. Social Science Front, 2020 (06): 84-92+281-282.
[2]Xiang Weixing, Zhong Hong, Li Hongjin. An Empirical Study on the Influencing Factors of Currency Share of International Bond Issuance: Enlightenment to RMB Internationalization. World Economic Research, 2017(09): 3-12+135. DOI: 10.13516/j.cnki.wes.2017.09.001.
[3]Li, Yao. Non-International Currencies, Currency Internationalization and Capital Account Convertibility. Journal of Financial Research, 2003, (08): 104-111.
[4]Research Group on RMB Internationalization. The Timing, Approach and Strategy of RMB Internationalization. China Finance, 2006(05): 12-13.
[5]Cao Yujin. Economic Research Reference, 2014(09): 72-85. DOI: 10.16110/ j.cnki.issn2095-3151.2014.09.004.
[6]Fan Zuojun, Xia Wenxiang, Chen Yaowen. Journal of Central University of Finance and Economics, 2018(04): 30-43. DOI: 10.19681/j.cnki.jcufe.2018.04.003.
[7]Li, Jing, Guan, Tao, & He, Fan. The Current Situation of RMB Cross-Border Circulation and Its Impact on the Chinese Economy. Management World, 2004, (09): 45-52+155. DOI: 10.19744/j.cnki.11-1235/f.2004.09.006.
[8]Flandreau M, Jobst C. The Empirics of International Currencies: Network Externalities, History and Persistence. The Economic Journal, 2009, 119(537): 643-664.
[9]Chen, Weidong, & Zhao, Xueqing. Research on the Development Path of RMB Internationalization: Reflections Based on Ten Years of Development. International Economic Review, 2020, (04): 28-37+4.
[10]Tian Tao, Liu Luping, Xu Yang. The evolution trajectory of sovereign currency internationalization and the path of RMB internationalization——An analysis based on Marx's monetary theory. Journal of Business Research, 2021(01): 59-65. DOI: 10.13902/j.cnki.syyj.2021.01.008.
[11]Flandreau, Marc & Jobst, Clemens. (2006). The Empirics of International Currencies: Historical Evidence. Kevin D, Greenaway D. Currency Competition, Network Externalities and Switching Costs: Towards an Alternative-View of Optimum Currency Areas. The Economic Journal, 1993, 103(420): 1180-1189.
[12]Qing He, Iikka Korhonen, Junjie Guo, Fangge Liu. The geographic distribution of international currencies and RMB internationalization. International Review of Economics & Finance, 2016(42): 442-458.
[13]Que Chengyu, Cheng Liyan. Does exchange rate fluctuation have a nonlinear effect on currency internationalization? Based on the perspective of financial market development. Journal of International Finance, 2018(03): 14-24. DOI: 10.16475/j.cnki.1006-1029.2018.03. 002.
[14]Peng Hongfeng, Tan Xiaoyu, Zhu Xiaoquan. Currency Internationalization: Research on the Influencing Factors and Action Path of Cost Channel. World Economy, 2017, 40(11): 120-143. DOI: 10.19985/j.cnki.cassjwe.2017.11.007.
[15]Ba Xiaoyan, Yu Xiaoning. Currency internationalization from the perspective of international financial investment——Index construction and long-term and short-term driving factors analysis. Journal of International Finance, 2019(03): 55-64. DOI: 10.16475/j.cnki.1006-1029.2019.03. 006.
[16]Wu Cong, Zhao Ran. How does politics play a role in the internationalization of currency? Review of Political Economy, 2015, 6(06): 162-182.
[17]Gong Xiuguo, Yu Enfeng. Research on the impact of alliance relationship on the status of the US dollar and the internationalization of non-US dollar currencies: Theory and empirical evidence. Journal of Sichuan University (Philosophy and Social Science), 2020(05): 128-139.
[18]Wang Tianqian, Zhu Xiaomei. Measurement of RMB internationalization level and analysis of influencing factors——An empirical study based on the perspective of dual circulation and national finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 2022, 37(06):127-143.
[19]Arellano, M. and Bond, S. 1991. Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297.
[20]Chinn, Menzie and Jeffrey A. Frankel. 2007. Will the euro eventually surpass the dollar as leading international reserve currency? In G7 Current account imbalances: sustainability and adjustment. University of Chicago Press. pp. 283-338.