Development Status and Path Analysis of Fuel Cell Vehicles

DOI: https://doi.org/10.62517/jes.202602128

Author(s)

Xingyue Xie, Chujian Guo*, Ruiyan Wang, Zifang Tang, Leyu Su

Affiliation(s)

Wuhan Business University, Wuhan, Hubei, China

Abstract

This paper systematically studies the development status and future path of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs). Through literature analysis and data comparison, it sorts out the technological progress of proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) in key materials, system integration, and manufacturing processes, and constructs a three-level technical evaluation system from materials to systems. Research shows that the performance improvement of key components has driven a significant cost reduction: the service life of proton exchange membranes has increased from 2000 hours to 6000 hours, platinum loading has decreased by 70%, and the system cost has dropped substantially. Based on the industrial data of major global economies, an industrial development model of "policy-driven - technological breakthrough - scenario implementation" is summarized. It is predicted that by 2030, the market scale of commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles will reach 500,000 units/year and 300,000 units/year respectively. Addressing the current challenges such as technical bottlenecks, cost pressures, and backward infrastructure, countermeasures including strengthening technological research, expanding industrial scale, improving infrastructure, and optimizing the policy system are proposed to provide reference for the development of the fuel cell vehicle industry.

Keywords

Fuel Cell; Technological Progress; Automobile Industry; Carbon Neutrality; Large-Scale Promotion

References

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