Research on Risk Evaluation Index System and Model of Power Grid Construction Project

DOI: https://doi.org/10.62517/jiem.202303212

Author(s)

Chenguang Gao*, Yongxue Fan, Lei Ding, Zhanrong Li

Affiliation(s)

Beijing Guodiantong Network Technology Co., Ltd, State Grid Information and Telecom Group Co., Ltd., Beijing 100029, China *Corresponding author.

Abstract

Power grid engineering projects mainly refer to the power grid infrastructure and technical transformation projects, such projects have the characteristics of huge investment amount, complex construction process, long cycle and many risk factors. The planning, construction and operation process are affected and restricted by many factors, and the consequences of risks are relatively serious. Firstly, this paper analyzes the risk theory of power grid construction project from the aspects of related concepts, project implementation process, risk assessment, risk prevention, etc. Secondly, the risk evaluation index system of power grid construction projects is constructed from the aspects of risk identification theory, index selection principle and design process. Thirdly, based on the analysis of evaluation methods, the relative evaluation models are compared, selected and improved, and the risk evaluation model of power grid construction projects is constructed. Finally, it put forward the grid construction project risk management measures, including the development of risk management plan, risk avoidance, risk control, risk transfer, unique risk prevention, risk monitoring and other risk prevention strategies.

Keywords

Power Grid Construction; Project Risk; Evaluation; Risk Management

References

[1]Ding Xiangqian, Shi Shuo. Analytic hierarchy process (ahp) in the application of project risk management. Chinese journal of ocean university (natural science edition), 2004. The DOI: CNKI: SUN: QDHY. 0.2004-01-016. [2]Li liang. Grid construction project risk assessment and prevention research. Journal of communication world, 2014 (10): 2. DOI: 10.3969 / j.i SSN. 1006-4222.2014.19.075. [3]Wang Zhong, Huang Ruihua. Foreign risk management theories, methods and progress. Foreign Economics and Management, 2005, 27(2) : 25-31 [4]Dou Wei. Project risk identification and management. Modern marketing (below the ten-day), 2011 (4): 19-19. DOI: 10.3969 / j.i SSN. 1009-2994.2011.04.010. [5]Wang Zhuofu. Engineering Project Risk Management: Theory, Method and Application. China Water Resources and Hydropower Press, 2003. [6]Hayes, Rerry, Thompson. Risk Management in Engineering Construction Implications for Project Managements. London: Thomas Telford Ltd, 1986: 145~151 [7]Zhang Hui. Project risk management method and application research. (hebei province) and north China electric power university, 2008. The DOI: 10.7666 / d.y. 1455856. [8]J.Bowers.Data for Project risk analysis.Int.J.Project Management, 1994, 12 [9]Wen Guofeng. Research on Model and Method of Improving Risk Management Ability of Construction Engineering Projects. Economic Science Press, 2011. [10]Artem Aleshin. Risk management of international projects in Russia. [11]Xiong Haoling. International Project risk Management. Urban Construction Theory Research: Electronic Edition, 2015(22). [12]J. H. M. That, V. Carr. A Pro Posal for Construction Project Risk Assessment Using Fuzzy Logic. Construction Management and Eeonomics, 2000, 18(3): 491-500 [13]Guo Xiangmei. On financial risk management in China's power industry. Low carbon World, 2013, (7) : 107-108 [14]Yu Song. Research on risk management of power grid construction project. Kunming University of Science and Technology, 2013 [15]Ren Ya Qin. Research on risk assessment model and application of smart grid construction project. North China Electric Power University, 2014 [16]Hu Bo. Investment risk analysis and control of power grid construction projects. Consumer Guide, 2015, (1) : 60-60 [17]Qu Ningning. Discussion on legal risk prevention in power grid construction. Public Electricity, 2015, (7) : 14-15 [18]Guo Ying. Research on legal risk management of power grid construction projects. North China Electric Power University, 2014 [19]Behret Hulya, Oztaysi Basar, Kahraman Cengiz. A fuzzy inference system for supply chain risk management[C]. Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing, 2011, 124: 429-438 [20]Wang Dongxia, QI Zhongying. Grey system theory in the application of the engineering project risk management system. Journal of technology economy and management research, 2006 (4): 3. DOI: 10.3969 / j.i SSN. 1004-292 - x. 2006.04.029. [21]Dang Huaxia. Internal Control Optimization Strategy and Risk Management Strategy of Wind Power Enterprises. Quality and Market, 2021(16):3. [22]Dowling N. A, Dichmont C. M, Venables W. From low- to high-value fisheries: Is it possible to quantify the trade-off between management cost risk and catch? Marine policy, 2013, 40: 41-52 [23]Xu Manku, Wang Haikun, Zhang Dong. Research on risk evaluation of power grid construction projects. China Electric Power Education, 2007 Management Discussion and Education Research Special Issue: 221-223 [24]Research on risk assessment Model of engineering project. Journal of Catastrophology, 2009,24 (3) : 89-92 [25]Tang Xiaoli, FENG Junwen, WANG Xuerong. Based on the network analysis method of project risk management. Journal of statistics and decision, 2005. The DOI: 10.3969 / j.i SSN. 1002-6487.2005.16.056. [26]Sun Honggang, Wang Laisheng. Risk evaluation index and its quantitative method in project investment. Business Modernization, 2009, 1:179 [27]Wang Guo-Zhong, Huang Ben-Xiao, Liu Heng. A comprehensive evaluation model for project risk identification in project management and its application. Logistics Technology, 2004,28 (114) : 94-97 [28]Yue Caixuan. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of investment project risk index system. Department Store Modernization, 2007, 9:262-263 [29]Charles P Bonini, Risk evaluation of investment projects, Omega, Volume 3, Issue 6, December 1975, Pages 735-750 [30]Yoon Chang-Joo. Research on engineering project risk management. Ocean University of China, 2008 [31]Zhou Xun. Research on risk management of engineering projects based on fuzzy evaluation. Tianjin University, 2008 [32]Zheng Wanyong, Xue Fei, Li Yaguang. Research on risk evaluation of construction projects. Science and Technology Innovation Review, 2009, 28:231-232 [33]Xialili. Research on risk management methods and application of engineering projects -- taking the construction of large-scale refining and chemical plant of CNPC No.7 as an example. China University of Petroleum, 2007 [34]Yan Jun. Research and case analysis on risk management of engineering construction projects. Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 2008 [35]Ma Yuehong, Li Yiyi, Sun Wenchao. Application of comprehensive evaluation system based on grey relational degree analysis and TOPSIS theory. Electronic Technology and Software Engineering, 2018(20):4. [36]Deng Yiping, Liu Tao. Optimization of water conservancy project scheme based on grey correlation analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process. Water saving irrigation, 2009 (9): 4. DOI: CNKI: SUN: JSGU. 0.2009-09-013. [37]Xi Xiao. Power engineering project risk evaluation based on the theory of grey fuzzy research. North China electric power university (Beijing), 2011. The DOI: CNKI: CDMD: 2.1011.107521. [38]Application of AHP in risk assessment of electric power construction project. Journal of Southwest University for Nationalities Natural Science Edition, 2007,33 (3) : 624-628 [39]Chen Y P. Research on risk assessment of power grid construction projects based on grey Hierarchy Analysis model. North China Electric Power University (Beijing), 2017. [40]Zhou Xiaojun, Jiang Hongli. Risk management of power transmission and transformation project. Shanxi Construction,2010,36(10):207-208 [41]Huang Shuixian. Risk Analysis and Countermeasures of Power grid project construction cost. Private Science and Technology, 2009,(9):174 [42]An Lei, Wang Mianbin, Tan Zhongfu. Risk Assessment Model of Power transmission and transformation Project based on Set Pairs Fault Tree Method. East China Electric Power, 2010,39 (1): 12-18 [43]Luo Xuchuan, Tian Bingquan, Huang Qi. Application of AHP in risk assessment of electric power construction projects J. Natural Science Edition, Journal of Southwest University for Nationalities, 2007,33 (3): 624-628 [44]Hong Jun. Research on Risk Management of Power Grid Construction Projects. North China Electric Power University (Beijing), 2011.