Research on Land Use Change Prediction in Harbin Based on PLUS Model

DOI: https://doi.org/10.62517/jlsa.202407410

Author(s)

Aimin Wang, Yuejiao Han*, Yangbing Lu

Affiliation(s)

School of Environmental Art and Architectural Engineering, Heilongjiang University of Technology, Jixi, Heilongjiang, China *Corresponding Author.

Abstract

This study simulates and predicts land use changes in Harbin urban area in 2029 based on the PLUS model. Using two periods of Landsat8 OLI remote sensing image data in 2015 and 2022, change analysis of land use types is carried out. Fourteen driving factors such as natural and human factors are selected for driving force analysis, and the land use distribution of Harbin in 2029 is predicted. The research results show that the land use pattern of Harbin in 2029 presents "five parts of cultivated land, four parts of forest land, and half part of construction land". Urban expansion will mainly be concentrated around the main urban area. This study provides data reference and scientific basis for land use resource planning and natural ecological environment protection of Harbin.

Keywords

PLUS Model; Simulation; Land Use; Prediction; Research on Driving Forces

References

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